Key Takeaways
- The Federal Reserve's Open Markets Committee kicked off its two-day meeting Tuesday.
- The Fed is widely expected to cut the key federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point this week, but it's unclear what the committee could project for 2025 in its Summary of Economic Projections, which will be released Wednesday alongside the statement on the rate decision.
- Economists will be paying attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's message when he addresses reporters at the close of the meeting on Wednesday.
The Federal Reserve's policy committee kicked off its two-day meeting on Tuesday, and the outcome of the gathering could have implications well into the new year.
The Federal Reserve Open Markets Committee (FOMC) is meeting for the last time this year and will announce its policy decisions on Wednesday afternoon. The committee is 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:widely expected to cut its influential 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:federal funds rate by a quarter point and could discuss other more technical pꦓolicyꦇ adjustments.
Officials 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:cut the fed funds rate from a two-decade high for the first time in four years at their September meeting, and reduced the rate again last month. Cutting as expected this week would bring the total reduction this year to a whole percentage point.
Despite the Fed's immediate moves being fairly predictable, the changing economic landscape presents some questions for central bankers as they move into the new year. Here's what you need to know.
How Has the 🐻Economic Picture Changed Since Nove🅺mber?
The economic landscape has changed some since the last time the committee met in November. Unemployment 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:has not risen as much as central bankers expected and inflation hasn't 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:cooled as much as the committee had hoped.
The FOMC uses interest rates as a tool to stimulate or stifle the economy. When the economy is running too hot🔥 and fueling inflation, 🙈the committee will raise rates to discourage borrowing and spending. When the economy slows, it usually brings a wave of layoffs, which the committee attempts to avoid by lowering rates and encouraging spending.
Concerns about rising unemployment fueled the initiation of this cycle of rate cuts. But with continued 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:strong consumer spending and steady job data, the Federal Reserve could be runnꦇing out of reasons to cut its influential interest rate.
So, Why is the Fed Still Likely to Cut Its K🌺ey Rate?
Since the economy has been shifting this month, some 澳洲幸运5开奖号码𓃲历史查询:wonder why the Federal Reserve would🌺 cut its key interest rate this week. A CNBC survey released Tuesday showed that while 93% of respondents think the Fed will cut by a quarter-point at this meeting, only 63% believe it's the right move.
Some economists said central bankers are likely to proceed with their 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:highly telegraphed move because traders now expect ♎it, even if they disagree with it.
“The Fed will likely follow through so as not to thwart expectations but the odds it will take a pause in January have increased,” wrote Bob S🦩chwartz, Senior Economist at Oxf💝ord Economics.
What Does This Week's Meeting Mean for Policy in the New Year?
Fed watchers will learn in more detail what recent economic data means for the central bank when it releases its Summary of Economic Proje♎ctions on Wednesday, in conjunc🎀tion with its policy decision.
The projections are a snapshot of individual committee members' best guesses on the future of unemployment, inflation and rate cuts. Economists expect that the average prediction will be three rate cuts in 2025, fewer than were expected when they 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:last published their expectations in September.
Watchers will also listen for clues on the path ahead when Chair Jerome Powell addresses reporters after the decision is published.
"Chair Powell's press conference will likely send a consistent signal that the Fed is set to slow the pace of rate cuts in 2025," wrote Deutsche Bank economists last week.