The first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the year started Tuesday, after the U.S. economy finished 2024 with stabl𒊎e employment and stubborn inflation✅.

The Federal Reserve's policy-setting group is discussing progress on the Fed's fight against inflation and whether to cut its influential 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:federal funds rate. Their decision is set to be released Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET. Federal Reserve Chair 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Jerome Powell will give more details a🔜nd answer questions at a press co🦋nference scheduled for 2:30 p.m.

The Fed, which cut its benchmark rate at each of its last three meetings dating back to September, isn't expected to trim the fed funds rate at this meeting. The Fed had warned after the last meeting that the pace of easing would likely slow due to persistent inflation pressures.

Not much has changed in the economy since the Fed's December meeting. However, uncertainty around the new administration's economic policies is intensifying, which could make Fed watchers scrutinize the FOMC's post-meeting statement and Powell's comments more than usual.

The Economy Is Holding Steady ...

The Fed has a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:dual mandate to promote price stability and maintain maximum employment. High post-pandemic inflation led the Fed to keep interest rates at a two-decade hig𓃲h before starting to cut last fall, when concerns started to gro𓂃w about rising unemployment.

According to the most recent data available, December inflation 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:remained stubborn, but Fed officials said they were 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:confident it was still on the way to their target of 2% annually.

"The process of disinflation remains in train," said Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Barkin earlier this month.

As for the labor market, employers surprisingly 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:added 256,000 jobs in December, beating economists' expectations of 155,000.

... And Interest Rates Likely Will, Too

Because there is little threat of widespread job loss and progress has stalled on the fight against inflation, economists and market participants widely expect the Fed 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:will keep its influenti♐al interest 🔯rate untouched on Wednesday.

According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, which forecasts rate movements based on fed funds futures trading data, as of Tuesday there is a 97.3% chance that the committee will leave the fed funds rate at its current range of 4.25% to 4.50%.

The Fed members themselves made 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:similar projections in December. The majority of FOMC members predicted they would only cut the federal funds rate by 50 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:basis points this year—half of the cuts they made in 2024.

Trump's Policies Are Causing Uncertainty

Economists and Fed officials said the plan to bring inflation back down could change if President Donald Trump enacts♕ some of his proposed economic policies.

Tariffs, in particular, could change the U.S. economic outlook. After the December Fed meeting, Powell said the committee 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:is moving more slowly on rate cuts in part ℱbecause it is unsure of what those trade policies could look like.

Tariffs were 🀅澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:notably not one of the executive o♛rders that Trump signed on his first day in office. He did, however, say that tariffs 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:could be implemented as soon as Feb. 1.

This is the first FOMC meeting under Trump's second administration. However, Trump and Powell have 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:been on a collision course since the presidential election. Trump threatened the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:independence of the Fed on the campaign trail, and Powell has maintained that it is vital that the central bank remain free ဣfrom presidential control.

Just last week, Trump 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:told a gat🐽hering of☂ world economic leaders that he would "demand that intere🎀st rates drop immediately" if oil prices decline๊.