The stock market gets most of the media's attention because it's easier to grasp than its cousin, the commodities market. That said, the commodities market has as many spectacular stories to tell as the stock market. For example, Japanese trader Yasuo Hamanaka, aka "澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Mr. Copper," caught the world's attention in the 1990s when his daring (and brilliant) attempt to manipulate the copper market came to light.
However, Hamanaka was only building on a ploy pioneered by the Hunt brothers 20 years earlier. Let's take a trip through one of the largest speculative attempts to 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:corner a market—and how it went awry.
Key Takeaways
- Silver Thursday refers to March 27, 1980, when the price of silver collapsed.
- Silver Thursday followed the attempt of the Hunt brothers to corner the market in silver.
- To corner a market means to acquire enough shares of a particular security type or to hold a significant commodity position to be able to manipulate its price.
- At their peak, the Hunt brothers had accumulated about one-third of the entire world's supply of privately-held silver.
Two Billionaire Brothers
When oil tycoon H.L. Hunt died in 1974, he left his sprawling family billions. Two of his sons, Herbert and Nelson, took their oil money inheritance into the commodities market, investing in a way their father had never imagined. The Hunt brothers believed that 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:inflation would result in silver becoming a haven, just like its more expensive cousin, gold. Nelsonꦜ "Bunker" Hunt, in particular, believed there𒐪 would be inflationary pressures that would destroy the value of any investments denominated in or tied to paper currency.
Cornering the Market
Bunker foresaw at least a tenfold increase in the price of silver as a result of the plummeting 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:real value of the dollar, so he and his brother began to buy up physical silver as well as 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:future contracts. Instead of closing out contracts with 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:cash settlements, a common procedure on the commodities market, the Hunts took delivery on silver. They then stockpiled this silver and used their large 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:cash reserves to buy up even more futures.
The billions in demand triggered the rise of silver to more than $50 per ounce. The silver bug siblings continued to take delivery and borrowed heavily to take out even more futures on silver once their immediate cash was all tied up.
Spreading the Silver Gospel
Notably, $1 billion worth of silver purchases was bound to move the market, but the Hunts were able to amplify this jump by 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:leveraging the family fortune many times over. The Hunt name was considered as good as gold where lending was concerned, and the Hunts were able to get capital at much lower rates than other 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:speculators.
The Hunts also preached their gospel of silver as the true haven in the upcoming inflationary flood to wealthy investors throughout the world and pooled converts' funds to buy up more silver and futures contracts. Some of the speculators helping the Hunts included Saudi investors—a fact that would become important when the U.S. government started getting interested in the Hunts' activities.
A Short Squeeze Develops
The Hunt brothers had already considerably reduced the amount of silver available on the market and made their continuing buying action all the more powerful by pushing up the price of silver. In any commodities deal, there are longs and shorts, but in this case, the shorts were vastly overmatched. A 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:short squeeze developed as the brothers continued to buy up available silver stocks and take delivery on their futures contracts. The Hunts' position was now worth around $4.5 billion.
People were pawning coins and silverware to take advantage of the high price of silver, adding to the supply, but there was less than a third of the silver market left that the Hunts did not 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:control via futures.
Uncle Sam Steps in
The U.S. government became concerned over what it saw as a clear attempt at manipulating the nation's silver reserves, and the fact that this corner involved the Middle East added some venom to its reaction: After all, the 1970s oil crisis was still fresh in the nation's mind. Federal commodities regulators introduced special rules to prevent any more 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:long position contracts from being written or sold for silver futures.
This move stopped the Hunts from increasing their positions by temporarily suspending the fundamental rules of the commodities market. With longs frozen and shorts free to pile in, the price of silver began to slide. 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Margin calls on the loans began to take a toll on the Hunts' reserves to the point where they were paying millions a day in calls, storage fees, and interest.
Silver Prices Collapse
The Hunt name, however, kept the brothers afloat with easy terms on more short-term capital. The Federal Reserve then took an unusual step: it strongly encouraged banks to stop making loans for speculative activity. When it became clear that the government was after the Hunts' scalps, their credit dried up. Concerns that the Hunts might not be able to meet margins with new loans and would go under (pulling several brokerages and banks with them) put further downward pressure on the price of silver.
On March 27, 1980—a date that became known as "Silver Thursday"—the Hunt brothers finally missed a margin call and the market plunged; silver led the way, dropping to under $11 from its high of $50.42.
The Aftermath of the Hunts' Plan
Government officials considered a bailout to prevent systemic chaos. The action was vetoed, however, because the government agencies didn't want to be seen as 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:underwriting dangerous financial 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:speculation. In the end, the Hunt name held true, and the brothers arranged a private bailout from a consortium of banks and companies.
The Hunts were dragged in front of Congress, scolded, charged with manipulation, fined, fined again, and forced into 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:bankruptcy. It took nearly a decade for them to unwind all their silver holdings and satisfy creditors, and the final bill left them billions poorer—although still wealthy by most standards.
Why Did the Hunt Brothers Fail?
The Hunt brothers managed to accumulate two-thirds of the entire global supply of privately owned silver. However, in January 1980, the price of silver declined by over 50% by March, making the Hunt brothers face severe losses and be unable to honor the margin calls that they had been issued by their brokerage lenders.
How Much Did the Hunt Brothers Lose?
The Hunt brothers lost about $1.7 billion, becoming the greatest debtors in history at that time. Although banks allowed the Hunt brothers $1.1 billion credit towards clearing their obligations, they were personally bankrupted and convicted of illegally cornering the market on silver. The Hunt brothers were fined $10 million each and banned from trading on the commodities market.
What Is Silver Rule 7?
In response to the Hunts brothers' accumulation, on Jan. 7, 1980, the exchange rules regarding leverage were changed and COMEX adopted "Silver Rule 7", to counteract the brothers' monopoly attempt on the silver market. Silver Rule 7 placed heavy restrictions on the purchase of commodities on margin.
The Bottom Line
Whether they purposely intended to manipulate the market or not, the Hunts created a bubble in the silver market that severely shook the financial system. Whether the target asset is stocks, silver, or sprawling suburban homes, too much "澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:irrational exuberance" in the market always comes back to bite th𓆏e hand that feeds it in the end.