Most investors evaluate mutual funds using the principles of fundamental rather than 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:technical analysis. 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Mutual funds tend to be long-term, buy-and-hold investments, and technical anal🥀ysis is better suited to shorter-term trading.
That said, investors should not overlook♍ the value of some common technical indicators to provide trading insights for almost any kind of investment or fജinancial instrument, including mutual funds. Below are five common technical indicators that can be applied to mutual funds.
Key Takeaways
- Mutual funds are most often evaluated using fundamental analysis as opposed to technical analysis, which is more commonly used for shorter-term trading.
- Technical analysis, however, can provide a significant amount of insight into most investments and financial assets, including mutual funds.
- Common technical indicators that can help evaluate a mutual fund as a good or bad investment include trendlines, moving averages, the relative strength index (RSI), support and resistance levels, and chart formations.
1. Trendlines
Most technical analysis starts with 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:trendlines, which are lines that connect multiple price points and🧸 extend into the future to identify price trends and areas of support/resistance. For mutual funds, look at a long-term price chart in 🐽order to determine its trend.
A trendline can be plotted by drawing a line that connects multiple lows of a mutual fund over time. The fund may have tested this trendline on numerous occasions over the years. If the fund price breaks conclusively through a well-established, long-term trendline, it is a bearish signal. An investor in such a fund should consider selling their fund holdings if this occurs.
Conversely, a breakout above a well-defined trendline may be a bullish signal, indicating the investor should♚ stay iꦦn the fund.
2. Moving Averages
澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Moving averages are averages of time-series data, such as prices. Investors can use these to identify price trends of a mutual fund. A rising moving average suggests that the fund is in an uptrend, while a decl🔴ining moving average would indicate that it is in a downtrend.
A second major application arises from the crossover of two moving averages, for example, a short-term, 20-day moving average and a long-term, 200-daﷺy moving average.
If the 20-day moving average breaks above 💧✨the 200-day moving average, this would be considered a bullish signal for the mutual fund. Conversely, if the 20-day moving average breaks below the 200-day moving average, this would be a bearish signal.
🅺 The 200-day moving average is considered a key technical indicator, with breaks above or below that regarded as important trading signals. It is especially suited for mutual fund technical analysis beca🔥use of its longer-term nature.
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses i🤡n order to evaluate whether the mutual fund is overbought or oversold.
An RSI above 70 would suggest that the mutual fund is overbought and its value is overpriced and poised to retreat. An RSI below 30 indicates an oversold state that may trigger a bounce, which may bolster a value investor's buy decision.
4. Support and Resistance
A 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:support level is formed when a mutual fund trades down to a certain level and then bounces back up. Over time, this level becomes an area of strong support for the mutual fund. Conversely, a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:resistance area is formed when the fund is unable to break above 𒅌a certain price level.
Fast Fact
Support and resistance levels highlight the direction of the market and𝓡 help determine entry and exit points.
The further ap♒art these tests of support and resistance, and the more frequent that the fund trades down or up to the support or resistance level, the more formidable they become. A break of long-term🎃 support is very bearish and may signal a substantial downside for the mutual fund. A move above long-term resistance is very bullish and signals significant upside.
5. Chart Formations
There are a number of different chart types used in technical analysis, with the most common ﷽being line charts and bar charts.
Advanced users may prefer candlestick charts to point-and-figure charts. Chart formations for a mutual fund can be interpreted like stocks. The 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:head-and-shoulders pattern, for instance, is interpreted as being quite bearishꦕ for the fund, while the reverse head-and-shoulders pattern is viewed as a bullish sign🤡al.
A chart pattern that is easy to identify and that has a high degree of reliability is the double or triple top or bottom. A double top or triple top is typically formed after a long period and signals an imminent trend reversal; if a mutual fund that has been trending&n𝓀bsp;higher is unable to break through this formation, it may be headed lowerﷺ. Conversely, a fund that has formed a double or triple bottom may be poised to move higher.
What Is the 30 Day Rule for Mutual Funds?
Mutual fund companies discourage investors from making frequent trades, in order to reduce the costs that the fund incurs when investors redeem their shares. To prevent frequent or "澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:round trip" trades, mutual funds may impose early redemption fees or bar shareholders who redeem their fund shares within 30 days of investing.
How Are Mutual Funds Different From Stocks?
Since a mutual fund represents a basket of stocks or other investments, the value of a mutual fund share is effectively determined by the price of the securities it invests in. However, unlike stocks, mutual funds typically trade only once per day, making it difficult to take advantage of extremely short-term changes in valuation. Moreover, mutual funds also come with various fees that may m𒀰ake certain trading strategies impr🦋actical.
Can You Day Trade Mutual Funds?
While it is possible to use day trading techniques for mutual funds, there are a number of factors that make this impractical. First, mutual funds only trade once per day, typically after market close; this makes it difficult to take advantage of intraday fluctuations in stock prices. Second, mutual funds discourage investors from making short term or "round trip" investments, and may enact extra fees or penalties for investors who trade too often.
The Bottom Line
While mutual funds do not readily lend themselves to technical analysis, investors can apply some common technical indicators to predict mutual fund movements. Technical indicators like trendlines, moving averages, RSIs, and chart formations are widely used in 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:mutual fund analysis as they pro🅘vide reliable signals tha꧃t are easy to interpret.