澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询

Use Market Volume Data to Determine a Bottom

Price and volume form the building blocks of market structure, forming endless uptrends, downtrends, tops, and bottoms across all time horizons. Interactions between these structural elements generate convergences and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:divergences that allow observant traders to make predictions about direction, 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:relative strength or weakness, an✤d the durability of market turns.

Price-volume relationships are especially useful in identifying bottoms because profit potential peaks when long positions can be entered at or near the lowest low in a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:downtrend. Rather than catching a falli꧟ng knife, the volume-focused trader acts early on technical signs that show committed buyers are returning to a once-depressed security.

Key Takeaways

  • Price and volume are key tools for identifying market bottoms and peaks.
  • When using volume in a downtrend, it's important to look at the downtrend at certain intervals to see how it fits the bottoming scenario.
  • Two key methods for finding volumes involve looking at volume histograms and on balance volume (OBV).
  • However, it remains difficult to call market bottoms with absolute certainty.

Reading Volume in Downtrends

To read volume in downtrends, examine the downtrend at periodic int⛦ervals to see how it fits into a bottoming scenario. Focus on coincident volume activity that measures the balance between buyers and sellers, throwing out any ambig🐭uous signals. Divergences are useful in this process, especially when looking for hidden buying interest that isn’t reflected in the current price activity.

Directional pressure can be easily evaluated through most phases of a downtrend because volume indicators will show sellers overwhelming buyers, or the exact opposite of the scenario expected at the bottom. In addition to 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:trade flow, look at 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:average volume day♐-to-day as the downtrend progresses because bottoms rarely form until one of two events takes place:

  • The security undergoes a climactic sell-off that leads to three to five times the average daily volume, often over many sessions.
  • The security enters a dormant phase where it continues to fall while volume dries up, leading to lower-than-average daily volume, often for weeks or months.

The first scenario triggers a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:buying imbalance because intense selling pressure reduces the supply of new sellers, giving buyers an advantage, while the second scenario indicates that sellers have moved on to other opportunities, allowing 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:value players to start the process of bottom building. It is counterintuitive, but a security in a low-volume decline will often take lon🍌ger to show a durable bottom than one in a climactic free-fall.

Finding Bottoms With Volume Histograms

澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Volume histograms found at the bottom of most price charts do a good job of identifying and confirming bottoms when analyzed correctly. In the first scenario, the trader looks for a selling climax that yields one𒉰 or more high-volume bo💟unces that indicate short covering.

This price an꧅d volume activity doesn’t signal an immediate🍌 bottom or new uptrend. Rather, it forms the outline of a bottom that can take additional weeks or months to complete.

A bullish volume shift can be harder to find in the second scenario because beaten-down securities can drift sideways to lower for months befo🌠re acquiring the sponso𝔍rship needed to enter a new uptrend.

New money often enters quietly in these patterns, triggering slightly higher than normal buying days within long-term 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:trading ranges. These upticks don’t trigger breakouts and are often ignored by technicians because the🍃y don’t stand out on the price chart.

However, the total of this buying activity builds a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:positive feedback loop that carries the price up to a notable resistance level. A high volume breakout often follows immediately, shocking chart watchers who haven’t paidꦍ attention to the small details. As a result, watching this quiet accumulation and entering a trade at range resistance can produce outstanding profits.

Three Year Low Volume Bottoming Pattern

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Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

Boston Scientific Corp. (BSX) dipped un𝔍der the 2008 bear market low in 2010, entering a bottoming pattern that lasted for more than two years. Weekly volume dropped precipitously in 2011 and 2012, pointing to extreme apathy in the middle of a raging bull market.

The security quietly carved out a weekly 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:descending triangle, breaking the upper 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:trendline and 50-week 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:exponential moving average ꦓ(EMA) in January 2013, setting off a new u♏ptrend that showed rapid progress.

In both scenarios, watch the volume when the price finally rolls o☂ver and tests the downtrend low. It’s bullish when the test generates lower volume and the price turns higher above the prior low. Undercuts to new lows are common in our modern environment, but these can still yield legitimate bottoms when volume aligns correctly and price recovers quickly, closing back above the prior low.

Finding Bottoms With On Balance Volume (OBV)

澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:On balance volume (OBV) offers a useful technical tool to gauge the durability of a potential bottom. Watch the indicator during the test of the prior low, looking fಞor it to carve out a higher low. This pattern can draw wide attention, encouraging sidelined participants to open long positions in suppo♏rt of a new uptrend.

Trading a Bullish Volume Divergence

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Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

It’s especially valuable when the price dips below the prior low while OBV holds above it, signaling a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:bullish divergence. That’s what happened on the Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) chart after the security fell more than eight points over three months. The higher OBV print reveal𝔍ed hidden buying interest, ahead of a recovery wave that returns to the yearly high.

How Do You Identify the Bottom of a Market?

There are a few w🅘ays to determine the bottom of a market. The two most important are price and volume. When the💝re are few sellers in the market for a stock, it has probably bottomed out. Additionally, if the average daily trading volume of a stock has dropped significantly, it has most likely bottomed out.

What Does Market Volume Data Mean?

Volume ref🎶ers to how often an asset is bought and sold over a given time frame. If an asset is bought and sold many times, it will have a high volume. Volume is a signal of liquidity and activity.🔯 The higher the volume, the more liquid an asset is.

What Is the Most Useful Volume Indicator?

There are two common volume indicators: positive volume index (PVI) and negaꦓtive volume index ꦗ(NVI). PVI measures increases in trading volume whereas NVI measures decreases in trading volume.

The Bottom Line

Market bottoms often carve out classic volume pattern💯s that let observant traders make fast and accurate calls, allowing them to get on board before the crowd discovers the new uptrend.

Keep in mind that it's difficult to call market bottoms with absolute certainty. Use the methods listed here in conjunction with the other techniques for determining if a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:stock has bottomed to minimize ris🦩ks and potentially earn a significant profit.

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