What Is the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?
The exponential moving average (EMA) is a technical chart indicator that tracks the price of an investment such as a stock or a commodity o🔯ver time.
Like the simple moving average (SMA), the EMA tracks price trends over time. But the EMA is a weighted moving average that gives more importance to recent price data within the timeline being tracke🌜d.
Watching several EMAs at🃏 the same time is easy to do with moving average ribbons.
Traders and analysts rely on moving averages and ribbons to identify turning points, continuations, and overbought or oversold conditions. They also can be used to 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:def♓ine areas of support and res♏istance and to measure the strength of price trends.
Key Takeaways
- EMAs are designed to track price trends over specific time periods, such as 50 or 200 days.
- Unlike simple moving averages, EMAs give greater weight to recent data.
- Computing the EMA involves applying a multiplier to the simple moving average (SMA).
- Moving average ribbons let traders see multiple EMAs at the same time.
Calculating EMA
The EMA is designed to improve on a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:simple moving average by giving more weight to the most recent price data, which is considered more relevant to investors than older data. Since new data carries greater weight, the EMA responds more quickly 𒁃than the SMA to price cꦯhanges.
The formula for calculating the EMA starts with the SMA and uses a multiplier. There are three steps in the calculation (although 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:chart applications do the math for you):
- Compute the SMA
- Calculate the multiplier for weighting the EMA
- Calculate the current EMA
The calculation for the SMA is the same as computing an average or mean. That is, the SMA for any given number of time periods is the sum of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:closing prices for that number of time periods, divided by that same numbe🥃r. So, for example, a 10-day SMA is just the sum of the closing prices for the past 10 days, di🌳vided by 10.
The mathematical formula looks like this:
SMA=nA1+A2+...+Anwhere:An=Price of an a💦sset at period nn=Number of total periods
The formula for calculating♚ the weigh🍬ting multiplier looks like this:
Weighted multiplier=2÷(selected time period+1)=2÷(10+1)=0.1818=18.18%
In both cases, we’re assuming a 10-day SMA.
So when it comes 𒐪to calculat🍰ing the EMA of a stock:
EMA=Price(t)×k+EMA(y)×(1−k)where:t=todayy=yesterdayN=number of days in EMAk=2÷(N+1)
The weighting given to the most recent price is greater for a shorter-period EMA than for a longer-period EMA. For example, an 18.18% multiplꦡier is applied to the most recent price data for a 10-day EMA, as we did above, whereas for a 20-day EMA, only a 9.52% multiplier weighting is used.
There are aꦺlso slight variations of th💎e EMA arrived at by using the open, high, low, or median price instead of using the closing price.
Using the EMA: Moving Average Ribbons
Traders sometimes watch 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:moving average ribbons, which plot a number of moving 🍸averages onto a price chart rather than just one moving average.
Thoug♎h seemingly complex based on the sheer number of concurrent lines, ribbons are easy to see on charting applications and offer a simple way of visualizing the dynamic relationship between trends in the short, intermediate, and long term.
Defined by their characteristic three-dimensional shape that seems to flow and twist across a price chart, moving average ribbons are easy to interpret. The indicators trigger buy and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:sell signals whenever the moving aver൲age lines all converg🌳e at one point.
Traders look to buy on occasions when shorter-term moving averages cross above the longer-t𒊎erm moving averages from 🦂below and look to sell when shorter moving averages cross below from above.
How to Create a Moving Average Ribbon
To construct a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:moving average ribbon, plot a large number of moving averag♛es of varying time ไlengths on a price chart.
Common parameters include eight or more moving averages and intervals that range from a two-dꦦay moving average to 🎃a 200- or 400-day moving average.
Important
For ease of analysis, keep the type ofღ moving average consistent across the ribbon—for example, use only exponential moving averages or simple moving averages.
When the ribbon folds—when all of the moving averages converge into one close point on the chart—trend strength is likely weakening and possibly pointing to a reversal. The opposite is true if the moving averages are fanning and moving apart from each other, s๊uggesting that prices are ranging and that a trend is strong or strengthening.
Downtrends are often chꦐaracterized by shorter moving averages crossing below longer moving averages.
Uptrends show shorter 🦩moving averages crossing above longer moving averages.
In these circumstances, the short-term moving averages act as 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:leading indicators that are ꦏconfirmed as longer-term averages trend towarꦐd them.
What Is a Moving Average?
In the field of statistics, a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:moving average is a series of numbers each recorded from a different point in time. When charted, they indicate the upward or downward changes i💛n the average number. An overall average number can then be calculated for the period of time.
For example, the Georgia Rural Health Innovation Center was able to track the incidence of COVID-19 cases in the region by charting the moving average of cases. It allowed the center to see past the peaks and valleys of daily case numbers and better anticipate the local arc of the pandemic.
What Is a Good Timeline for an EMA?
Long-term investors tend to rely on 50-day to🃏 200-day charts. Short-term investors prefer an eight🌊-day to 20-day EMA.
Short-term investors don't care what a stock was doing eight months ago or, for that matter, how it will do eight months from now. They're looking for a short-lived trend to exploit.
What Is a Simple Moving Average vs. an Exponential Moving Average?
The exponential moving average is an improvement over the simple moving average♓, at least in terms of its relevance to investors and analysts. The EMA is a weighted average, giving greater weight to the most recent figures in the timeline being tracked. To traders, the most recent price action is more significant than earlier data.
The Bottom Line
The preferred number and type of moving averages can vary considerably between traders, based on 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:investment strategies and the underlying security or index. But EMAs are especially popular because they give more weight to recent ꦛprices, responding earlier⛄ than other averages.
Some common moving average ribbon examples in𒊎volve eight separate EMA lines, ranging in length from a few days to many months.