Key Takeaways
- The White House says it is close to trade deals with several countries. These deals will likely result in lower tariffs than those announced at the beginning of April.
- However, the administration could be faced with a time crunch in the coming weeks as it negotiates with at least 57 countries.
- Trump could always change his mind in the meantime. And even if tariffs remain where they are right now, they could weigh on the economy.
ಞTariffs could moderate, if new comments by President Donald Trump and the Whit♚e House are any indication.
Trump and his trade advisors are negotiating trade deals with dozens of countries. Those deals will likely end with lower tariffs than are currently on the table; under the paused "reciprocal" tariffs, import duties of up to 50% were charged on nearly 60 countries. (Tariffs on Chinese goods, which are not eligible for the pause, are even higher when taken in conjunction with the president's other actions, 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:totaling 145% imposed this year.)
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a briefing Tuesday that 18 trade proposals from other countries were "on paper" and 34 countries were meeting with White House representatives this week. Trump told reporters later in the day that tariffs on China "will come down substantially, but it won't be zero."
The Trump administration says resetting trade policy will 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:bring back manufacturing jobs to the U.S. and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查♕询:fund parts of the f💟ederal government budget. Economists🤡 warn, however, that U.S. consumers will ul🍰timately pay for tariffs in the form of higher inflation and slower economic growth.
All told, it's possible that the highest tariffs are behind the U.S. There are, however, some caveats.
Lots of Countrie♐s to Deal With And Not a Lot of Time
The White House has 11 weeks to negotiate trade agreements with at least 57 countries to avoid reinstating the highest tariffs imposed thus far. Trump's 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:90-day pause on "reciprocal" tariffs gives governments until July 9 to r💟each a deal.
That 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:could be a challenge. Trade deals have, on average, taken 18 months to negotiate and 45 days to implement. Trump's trade advisors maintain that making up to 90 deals in 90 days is possible.
Trump Has Changed His Mind Before
The on-again, off-again nature of Trump's trade policies thus far has economists and analysts unsure whether this latest pullback on the most extreme tariffs will last.
For example, Trump seemingly 澳洲幸运5开奖号🌊码历史查询:walked back his reciprocal🀅 tariff threat in the days before his '澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Liberation Day' announcement. The level of tariffs he then announced was higher than many 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:investors, 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:economists, analysts, and even 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Federal Reserve officials expected.
Even Lesser Tariffs Can Do Economic Damage
Even lower tariffs could slow economic grow🥀th and spur inf🍨lation, economists said.
During the pause, 10% universal tariffs are imposed on goods from most countries. That's in addition to a 145% tariff on China, 25% tariff on non-USMCA goods from Canada and Mexico and industry-specific tariffs that went into effect earlier in the year.
On average, the tariff rate on goods coming into the country is about 20%, economists say. That's nearly 10 times more than the average tariff at the end of last year.
So even if lower rates are negotiated, widespread tariffs could still take a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:significant financial toll on U.S. consumers and the economy.