What Is Economic Growth?

Economic growth is an increase in the production of economic goods and services in one period compared to a previous period. It can be measured in nominal or real terms. Aggregate economic growth is traditionally measured in terms of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:gross national product (GNP) or 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:gross domestic product (GDP) but alternative metrics are sometimes used.

How Economic Growth Works

Economic growth refers to an increase in aggregate production in an economy which generally manifes🅘ts as a rise in national income.

Aggregate gains in production often but do not necessarily correlate with increased average 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:marginal productivity. This leads to an increase in incomes, inspiring consumers to ꦫopen up their wallets and buy more and driving a higher material quality of life and standard of living.

Growth in economics is commonly modeled as a function of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:physical capital, human capital, labor force, and technology. Increasing the quantit𓄧y or quality🔯 of the working-age population, the tools they have to work with, and the recipes they have available to combine labor, capital, and raw materials will lead to increased economic output.

Phases of Economic Growth

The economy moves through different periods of activity. This movement is referred to as the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:business cycle. It consists of four phases:

• Expansion: Employment, income, industrial production, and sales all increase during this phase, and there's a rising real GDP.
• Peak: This is when an economic expansion hits its ceiling. It's effectively a turning point.
• Contraction: The elements of an expansion all begin to decrease during this phase. It becomes a recession when a significant decline in economic activity spreads across the economy.
• Trough: This is when an economic contraction hits its nadir.

A single business cycle is dated from peak to peak or trough to trough. Cycles generally aren't regular in length and there can be a period of contraction during an expansion or vice versa.

The U.S. economy has experienced more expansions than contractions since World War II. The average expansion lasted about 65 months from 1945 to 2019. The average contraction was only 11 months. The Great Recession lasted for 18 months, however, from December 2007 to June 2009. This was followed by the longest expansion on record of 128 months, lasting until 2020 and the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic.

How to Measure Economic Growth

The most common measure of economic growth is real GDP. This𒐪 is the total value of all goods and services produced in an economy with that value adjusted to remove the effects of inflati♒on. There are three different methods for looking at real GDP:

• Quarterly growth at an annual rate: This looks at the change in the GDP from quarter to quarter which is then compounded into an annual rate. The annual rate would be extrapolated to 1.2% if one quarter’s change is 0.3%.
• Four-quarter or year-over-year growth rate: This compares a single quarter’s GDP from two successive years as a percentage. It's often used by businesses to offset the effects of seasonal variations.
• Annual average growth rate: This is the average of changes in each of the four quarters. The annual average growth rate for the year would be 7.5% ÷ 4 = 1.875% if there were four-quarter rates of 2%, 3%, 1.5%, and 1% in one year.

Of course, measuring the value of a commodity is trickyౠ. Some goods and services are considered to be worth more than others. A smartphone is more valuable than a pair of socks. Growth has to be measured in the value of goods and services, not just the quantity.

An💙other problem is that not all individuals place the same value on the same goods and services. A heater is more valuable to a resident of Alaska. An air conditioner is more valuable to a resident of Florida. Some people value steak more than fish.

A common approximation is the current market value. This is measured in terms of U.S. dollars in the United States and is added together to produce aggregate measures of output including GDP.

How to Generate Economic Growth

Economic growth is dependent on four contributory a🀅reas:

Increase in Physical Capital Goods

The first factor is an increase in the amount of physical capital goods in the economy. A🔴dding capital to the economy tends to increase the productivity of labor. Newer, better, and more tools mean that workers can produce more output per period. A fisherman with a net will catch more fish per hour than a fisherman with a rod.🐻

Two things are critical to this process, however. Someone in the economy must first engage in some foꦫrm of saving to free up the resources to create the new capital. The new capital must additionally be of the right type, in the right place, and activated at the right time for workers to use it productively.

Improvements in Technology

A second method of producing economic growth is through technological improvements. The economic value of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:petroleum was relatively low before the discovery of the energy-generating power 🌸of gasoline fuel. This changed when the use of gasoline proved to be a more productive mไethod of transporting goods.

Improved technology allows workers to produce more output with the same stock of capital goods by combining them in novel ways that are more productive. Like capital growth, the rate of technical growth is highly dependent on the rate of savings and investment because they're necessary to engage in 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:research and development.

Growth of the Labor Force

Another way to generate economic growth is🅘 to grow the labor ꦯforce. More workers generate more economic goods and services.

A portion of the robust U.S. economic growth was due to a high influx of cheap, productive immigrant labor during the 19th century. There are some key conditions to this process, however, as with capital-driven growth.

Increasing the labor force necessarily increases the amount of output that must be consumed to provide for the basic subsistence of the new worജkers. The new workers have to be at least productive enough to offset this and not be net consumers.

It's also important for the right type of workers to flow to the right jobs in the right places in combination with the right types of complementary capital goods to realize their productive potential.

Increase Human Capital

The last method is to increase 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:human capital. Labo🐷rers become more accomplished at their crafts, raising their productivity through skills training, trial and error, or simply more practice. Savings, investment, and specialization are the most consistent and easily controlled methods.

Human capital can also refer to social and institutional capital. Behavioral tendencies toward higher social trust and reciprocity along with political or economic innovations such as improved protections for property rightܫs are types of human capital that can increase the productivity of the economy.

The Bottom Line

Economic growth occurs when there's a rise in the production of goods and services for a certain period compared with a previous one. It's generally measured in terms of GDP and is an indicator of the economic health of a country. How widely the fruits of the growth are shared is an important factor in its sustenance, however, not to mention societal health and progress.