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These States Are Least Prepared for a Recession

A general view of Bourbon Street as pedestrians walk the street in the French Quarter on December 14, 2024 in New Orleans, Louisiana.
Pedestrians walk the street in t෴he French Quarter on December 14, 2024 👍in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Photo by Aaron M. Sprecher/Getty Images

Key Takeaways

  • President Donald Trump's tariffs have tripped recession alarms, such as shrinking economic growth, squashing consumer confidence, and shaking financial markets.
  • Some of the most populous U.S. states, largely in the South, are the least prepared for a recession, according to a report from fintech lender National Business Capital.
  • The study found that a few northern Great Plains states, with high GDP, state government reserves, and low unemployment, are the most recession-resistant.

As tariffs trigger recession alarms,🦋 some of the most populous states are the least prepared for an economic downturn, according to a recent𝓀 report.

Tariff uncertainty has taken financial markets on a wild ride, squashed consumer and business confidence, and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:fueled fears about the possibility of a coming recession. They also spurred a surge of imports as people rushed to beat the tariffs, which resulted in negative economic growth澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询: for the first time since 2022.

The U.S. economy is likely not officially in a recession yet. The 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:National Bureau of Ec🏅onomic Research, the nonprofit resear♌ch group that officially calls U.S. recessions, only does so once a recession has a꧋lready set in, because it uses backward-looking data. However, two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth typically indicate a recession is in progress.

Millions of Americans live in states that are vulnerable to a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:recession, and the majority of states with the highest populations rank as least prepared for an economic downturn, according to a report released Wednesday by National Business Capital.

This analysis utilized economic 🐲data from each state to determine which was in the best position to survive a recession. States that were better prepared to weather a recession typically had higher government reserves, GDP per capita, and safety net coverage as well as lower unemploym💧ent rates and lower housing prices.

Mountain and Southern states proved to be the least resistant to a recession. National Business Capital's report said that, in recent years, those regions experienced a migration and housing boom that drove up the cost of living and hurt 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:household budgets.

In particular, Louisiana is the state most vulnerable to a recession, the study found. It already has a higher 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:unemployment rate than most other states, and Louisiana's government reserves are the lowest of all 50 states. It also has some of the worst safety-net coverage for residents through programs like unemployment insurance. In addition, the housing in the state is some of the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:least affordable in the country.

Colorado, Mississippi and South Carolina were also particularly ill-equipped to withstand a recessi✨on, the study found.

The most resilient states are primarily in the northern Great Plains region, with North Dakota being the most recession-resistant, according to the study. The state's high GDP relative to population and government reserves, combined with low unemployment, comparatively lower cost of living, and "decent" safety-net coverage, make it the most prepared state in the company's study.

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