Channels provide a simple and reliable way for traders to define their entry and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:exit points within an equity. Although the basic 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:channel-trading rules provide traders with a good idea of where the price is going within the channel, they leave little insight into where 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:breakouts might occur. Identifying patterns known as W🐟olfe Waves and Gartleys, however, can help predict ඣthese breakouts in terms of both their timing and scope (their proportion to the established channel).
This article will take an in-depth look at the channelin𝓰g techniques centered on these patterns and how they can be appl💖ied to help you profit.
Key Takeaways
- Identifying patterns known as Wolfe Waves and Gartleys can help traders predict breakouts in terms of both their timing and scope (their proportion to the established channel).
- The Wolfe Wave’s basic shape shows a fight for balance, or equilibrium, between supply and demand.
- The Gartley trading pattern consists of a single large impulse wave followed by two small pullback impulse waves.
Wolfe Waves
The 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Wolfe Wave is a natural pattern found in every market. Its basic shape shows a fight for balance, or 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:equilibrium, between 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:supply and demand. This naturally occurring pattern was not invented but rather discovered as ൩a means of pred꧃icting levels of supply and demand.
These patterns are very versatile in terms of time, but they are specific in terms of scope. For instance, Wolfe Waves occur in a wide range of time frames, over minutes or even as long as weeks or months, depend𒀰ing on the channel. On the other hand, the scope can be predicted with amazing accuracy. For this reason, when correctly exploited, Wolfe Waves can be extremely effective.
The overriding factor in identifying the Wolfe Wave pattern is symmetry. As shown below, the 🍨most accurate patterns exist where, between 1-3-5, there are equal timing intervals between wave cycles.
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Her﷽e are some key points to remember for identifying Wolfe Waves:
- Waves 3-4 must stay within the channel created by waves 1-2.
- Waves 1-2 equal waves 3-4 (showing symmetry).
- Wave 4 revisits the channel of points established by waves 1-2.
- There should be regular timing intervals between waves.
- Waves 3 and 5 are usually 127% or 162% (澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Fibonacci) extensions of the previous channel point.
The pattern can be found in:
- Rising channels in an uptrend
- Falling channels in a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:downtrend
- Level channels during 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:consolidation periods
Notice that the point at wave 5 shown on the diagrams above is a move slightly above or below the channel created by waves 1-2 and 3-4. This move is usually a false price breakout or channel breakdown, and it is the best place to enter a stock long or short. The “false” action at wave 5 occurs most of the time in the pattern but isn’t an absolutely necessary criterion. The point at wave 6 is the target level following from point 5 and is the most profitable part of the Wolfe Wave channel pattern. The target price (point 6) is found by connecting points 1 and 4.
Below is an example of the pattern at work. Remember, wave 5 is an opportunity to take action with a short or long position, while the point at w♋ave 6 is the target price.
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Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021
It is also important to note that Wolfe Waves, along with most pattern 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:trading strategies, are highly subjective. The key to profiting is accurately identifying and exploiting these trends in real time, which can be more difficult than it sounds. As a result, it is wise to 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:paper trade this technique—as is any new technique you are learning—before going live. And remember to use 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:stop losses to limit your losses.
The Gartley
The 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Gartley trading pattern was created by H.M. Gartley, who first illustrated it in his 1935 book “Profits in the Stock Market.” The setup consists of a single large impulse wave followed by two small pullback impulse waves. The diagrams below show examples of the ideal setup, both bullish and bearish. In the bullish example, XA represents the first large impulse with a price reversal at A. Following Fibonacci ratios, 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:retracement AB should be 61.8% of the price segment A minus X. This percentage is shown by the segment XB.
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At point B, the price again makes a smaller impulse opposite to that of A. Ideally, the retracement BC should be between 61.8% and 78.6% of the AB price range, regardless of the length of the lines. This percentage is shown by segment AC. At C, the price again makes a reversal impulse opposite to that of B. In this pattern, again as stated by Fibonacci ratios, the retracement CD should be between 127% and 161.8% of the range BC, and this proportion is shown along the line BD.
Price D is the optimal point for buying or selling. At entry D, the target retracement to a higher price is initially 61.8% of the range of segment CD. The movement from point D to its next point is extremely profitable. Moves from point D are ver🐠y quick and powerful, and they follow🍒 this model accurately 60% or more of the time.
Here are🅘 the key points to remember for Gartle꧅ys:
- Ideally, AB equals CD in time length.
- Point D is a 62%–72% pullback from XA.
- XD should ideally be 78.6% of the segment range XA.
- Ideally, CD equals AB.
- Take action at point D.
The condition in which these patterns can be found depends on whether they are 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:bullish or bearish:
- Bullish Gartleys occur in uptrends.
- Bearish Gartleys occur in downtrends.
The figure below demonstrate💛s the bullish Gartley at work.
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Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021
🌃The figure below demonstrates the bearish Gartley.
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Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021
What Is a Wolfe Wave?
A Wolfe Wave is a chart pattern composed of five wave pꦏatterns in price that imply an underlying equilibrium price. Investors who use this system ♒time their trades based upon the resistance and support lines indicated by the pattern.
What Is a Gartley Trading Pattern?
A Gartley trading pattern is a harmonic chart pattern, based on Fibonacci number🦹s and ratios, that 🌠helps traders identify reaction highs and lows. Many technical analysts use the Gartley pattern in conjunction with other chart patterns or technical indicators.
What Is a Channel?
A channel is a trading range observed between 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:support and resistance levels on a price chart. It is a chart pattern that graphically depi𝐆cts the peaks and troughs of a security’s price over a specific period of time.
The Bottom Line
Both of these channeling techniques provide traders with a reliable way to locate breakout points and determine their scope. When using these patterns in conjunction with 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:basic channeling rules, traders have access to 𝓡a reliable and extremely versatile trading system to use🧸 in any market conditions.