Interest rate risk exists in an interest-bearing asset, such as a loan or a bond, due to the possibility of a change in the asset's value resulting from the variability of interest rates. Interest rate 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:risk management has become very important, and assorted instruments have been developed to deal with 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:interest rate risk.
This article looks at several ways that both businesses and consumers manage interest rate risk using various interest rate 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:derivative instruments.
Key Takeaways
- Interest rate risk is the risk associated with interest rate fluctuations in assets.
- Interest rates and bond prices are inversely related.
- Certain products and options, such as forward and futures contracts, help investors hedge interest rate risks.
- Forward contracts are agreements in which a party can purchase or sell assets at a certain price on a specific future date.
Which Inveౠstors Are Susceptible to Interest Rate 🍸Risk?
Interest rate risk is the risk that arises when the absolute level of interest rates fluctuates. Interest rate risk directly affects the values of fixed-income securities. Since 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:interest rates and bond prices are inversely related, the risk associated with a rise in interest rates causes bond prices to fall, and vice versa. Bond investors, specifically those who invest in long-term fixed-rate bonds, are more directly susceptible to interest rate risk.
Suppose an individual purchases a 3% fixed-rate 30-year bond for $10,000. This bond pays $300 per year through maturity. If during this time, interest rates rise to 3.5%, new bonds issued pay $350 per year through maturity, assuming a $10,000 investment. If the 3% bondholder continues to hold their bond through maturity, thಞey lose out on the opportunity to earn a higher interest rate.
Alternatively, they could sell their 3% bond in the market and buy the bond with the higher interest rate; however, doing so results in the investor getting a lower price on th🎉eir sale of 3% bonds as they are no longer as attractive to investors since the newly issued 3.5% bonds are also available.
In contrast, changes in interest rates also affect equity investors but less directly than bond investors. This is because, for example, when interest rates rise, the corporation's cost of borrowing money also increases.
This could result in the corporation postponing borrowing, which may result in less spending. This decrease in spending may sloꦓw down corporate growth and result in decreased profit and ultima🔴tely lower stock prices for investors.
Interest Rate Risk Should Not Be Ignored
As with any 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:risk-management assessment, there is always the option to do nothing, and that is what many people do; however, in circumstances of unpredictability, sometimes not hedging is disastrous. Yes, there is 🍸a cost to hedging, but what is the cost of a major movꦍe in the wrong direction?
One need only look to Orange County, California, in 1994 to see evidence of the pitfalls of ignoring the threat of interest rate risk. In a nutshell, Orange County Treasurer Robert Citron borrowed money at lower short-term rates and lent money at higher long-term rates. The strategy was initially great as short-term rates fell and the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:normal yield curve was maintained.
But when the curve began to turn and approach 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:inverted yield curve status, things changed. Losses to Orange County and the almost 200 public entities for which Citron managed money were estimated at nearly $1.7 billion and resulted in the municipality's 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:bankruptcy. That's a hefty price to pay for ignoring interest rate risk.
Investment Products
Those who want to hedge their investments against interest rate risk have ma𝔉ny products to choose from.
Forwards
A 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:forward contract is the most basic inte൲rest rate management product. The idea is simple, and many other products discussed in this article are based on ꦜthis idea of an agreement today for an exchange of something at a specific future date.
Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs)
A 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) is based on the idea of a forward contract, where the determinant of gain or loss is an interest rate. Under this agreement, one party pays a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:fixed interest rate and receives a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:floating interest rate equal to a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:reference rate. The actual payments are calculated based on a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:notional principal amount and paid🍎 at intervals determined by th♏e parties. Only a net payment is made—the loser pays the winner, so to speak. FRAs are always settled in cash.
FRA users are typically borrowers or lenders with a single future date on which they are exposed to interest rate risk. A series of FRAs is similar to a swap (discussed below); however, in a swap, all payments are at the same rate. Each FRA in a series is priced at a different rate unless the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:term structure is flat.
Futures
A 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:futures contract is similar to a forward, but it provides the counterparties with less risk than a forward contract—namely, a lessening of default and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:liquidity risk due to the inclusion of an intermediary. 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Interest rate changes, dividends, and storage costs 🤪all affect the price of futures.
Swaps
Just like it sounds, a swap is an exchange. More specifically, an 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:interest rate swap looks a lot like a combination of FRAs and involves an agreement between counterparties to exchange sets of future cash flows. The most common type of interest rate swap is a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:plain vanilla swap, which involves one pꦐarty paying a fixed interest rate and receiving a floaജting rate, and the other party paying a floating rate and receiving a fixed rate.
Options
Interest rate management options are option contracts for which the underlying security is a debt obligation. These instruments are useful in protecting the parties involved in a floating-rate loan, such as 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs). A grouping of interest rate call options is referred to as an interest rate cap; a combination of interest rate put options is referred to as an interest rate floor. In general, a cap is lik♓e a call, and a 🧔floor is like a put.
Swaptions
A swaption,🐎 or swap option, is simply an option to enter into a swap.
Embedded Options
Many investors encounter interest management derivative instruments via 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:embedded options. If you have ever bought a bond with a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:call provision, you too are in the club. The issuer of your 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:callable bond is insuring that if interest rates decline, they can call in your bond and issue new bonds with a lower coupon.
Caps
A cap, also called a ceiling, is a call option on an interest rate. An example of its application would be a borrower going long, or paying a premium to buy a cap and receiving cash payments from the cap seller (the short) when the reference interest rate exceeds the cap's strike rꦗate. The payments are designed to offset interest rate increases on a floating-rate loan.
If the actual interest rate exceeds the strike rate, the seller pays the difference between the strike and the interest rate multiplied by the notional principal. This option will "cap," or place an upper limit, on the holder's 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:interest expense.
The 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:interest rate cap is a series of component options, or "caplets," for each period the cap agreement exists. A caplet is designed to provide a hedge against a rise in the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:benchmark๊ interest rate, suc♊h as the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), for a stated period.
Floors
Just as a put option is considered the mirror image of a call option, the floor is the mirror image of the cap. The 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:interest rate floor, like the cap, is a series of component options, except that they are put options and the series components are referred to as "floorlets." Whoever is long, the floor is paid upon maturity of the floorlets if the reference rate is below the floor's 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:strike price. A lender uses this to protect agai🍃nst falling rates on an outstanding f💮loating-rate loan.
Collars
A protective 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:interest rate collar can also help manage interest rate risk. Collaring is accomplished by simultaneously buying a cap and selling a floor (or vice versa), just like 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:a collar protects an investor who is long on a stock. A 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:zero-cost collar can also be established to lower the cost of hedging, but this lessens the potential proඣfit that would be enjoyed by an interest rate movem🦹ent in your favor as you have placed a ceiling on your potential profit.
What Causes Interest Rate Risk?
Interest rate risk is the decline in the interest rate of an asset, which would return less to an investor and is primarily 🌜a concern with fixed-income products. Declining interest rates cause interest rate risk and are a larger concern for products with longer maturities.
Is Interest Rate Risk a Market Risk?
Yes, interest rate risk is a market risk. Interest rates in an economy can change and thereby impact the interest rate on fixed-income securities⛦. The risk is that the interest🐠 paid on a fixed-income security will decrease and the payout to the investor will be smaller.
What Happens When Interest Rates Rise?
When interest rates rise, the cost of borrowing money becomes more expensive. This causes consumers to buy less as the cost of goods, such as a home or car, becomes more costly. When consumers buy less, demand decreases; when demand decreases, companies eventually decrease the supply of goods and services. They produce less, which means hiring fewer people or even letting go of some employees, which causes consumers to spend even less, further strengthening the cycle. The ove🍌rall increase in interest rates result꧃s in a slowdown of the economy.
The Bottom Line
Each of the products discussed above provides a way to hedge interest rate risk, with different products more appropriate for different scenarios. There is, however, no 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:free lunch. With any of these alternatives, one gives up something: either money, like premiums paid for options, or 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:opportunity cost, ⛄which is t💜he profit one would have made without hedging.