Investors often include foreign or international bonds in their portfolios for a few primary reasons – to take advantage of higher interest rates or yields and to diversify their holdings. However, the higher return expected from investing in foreign bonds is accompanied by increased risk arising from adverse 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:currency fluctuations.
Due to the relatively lower levels of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:absolute returns from bonds compared with equities, currency volatility can have a signifi💃cant impact on bond returns. Investors should, therefore, be cognizant of exchange risk that come💖s with foreign bonds, and implement measures to mitigate currency risk.
Key Takeaways
- Currency risk is the possibility of losing money due to unfavorable moves in exchange rates.
- Investors holding bonds issued abroad and denominated in foreign currency face the addition risk of currency changes to their overall return.
- Currency risk can be mitigated through hedging strategies, or by investing in foreign bonds that are denominated in your home currency, e.g. "Eurobonds".
Currency Risk and Foreign Bonds
Currency risk does not arise only from holding a foreign currency bond issued by an overseas entity. It exists any time an investor holds a bond that is denominated in a currency other than the investor’s domestic currency, regardless of whether the issuer is a local institution or a foreign entity.
Multinational companies and governments routinely issue bonds denominated in various cu🌠rrencies to bene🐠fit from lower borrowing costs, and also match their currency inflows and outflows.
These bonds may be broadly classifie✅d as foll🌠ows:
- A 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:foreign bond is a bond issued by a foreign company or institution in a country other than its own, denominated in the currency of the country where the bond is issued. For example, if a British company issued a U.S. dollar currency bond in the U.S.
- A 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Eurobond is a bond issued by a company outside its domestic market, denominated in a currency other than that of the country where the bond is issued. For example, if a British company issued a U.S. dollar currency bond in Japan. Note that "Eurobond" does not refer to bonds issued only in Europe, but rather is a generic term that applies to any bond issued without a specific jurisdiction. Eurobonds are named after their currency of denomination. For example, 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Eurodollar bonds refer to USD-denominated Eurobonds, while 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Euroyen bonds refer to bonds denominated in Japanese yen.
- A foreign-pay bond is a bond issued by a local company in its local country that is denominated in a foreign currency. For example, a Canadian dollar-denominated bond issued by IBM in the United States would be a foreign-pay bond.
澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Currency risk arises from the currency of denomination of the bond and the location of the investor, rather than the domicile of the issuer. A U.S. investor who holds a yen-denominꦕated bond issued by Toyota Motor is obviously exposed to currency risk. But what if the investor also holds a Canadian dollar-denominated bond issued by IBM in the U.S.? Currency risk exists in this case as well, even though IBM is a꧂ domestic company.
However, if a U.S. investor holds a so-called "澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Yankee bond" or a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Eurodollar bond issued by Toyota Motor, exchange risk does not exist꧟ despite the issuer being a foreign enti🍌ty.
How Currency Fluctuations Affect Total Returns
A slide in the currency in which your bond is denominated will lower 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:total returns. Conversely, an appreciation in the currency will further b෴oost returns from holding the bond — the icing on the cake, so to speak.
Consider a U.S. investor who purchased EUR 10,000 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:face value of a one-year bond, with a three percent annual coupon and trading at par. The euro was flying high at the time, with an exchange rate versus the U.S. dollar of 1.45, i.e., EUR 1 = USD 1.45. As a result, the ไinvestor paid $14,500 for the euro-denominated bond. Unfortunately, by the time the bond matured a year later, the euro had fallen to 1.25 against the U.S. dollar. T💃he investor, therefore, received only $12,500 upon converting the maturity proceeds of the euro-denominated bond. In this case, the currency fluctuation resulted in a $2,000 foreign exchange loss.
The investor may have initially purchased the bond because it had a three percent yield, while comparable U.S. bonds of one-year maturity were only yielding one percent. The investor may also have assumed that the exchange rate would stay reasonably stable over the bond's one-year 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:holding period.
In this case, the positive yield differential of two-percent offered by the euro bond did not justify the currency risk assumed by the U.S. investor. While the foreign exchange loss of $2,000 would be offset to a limited extent by the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:coupon payment of EUR 300 (assuming one interest payment made at maturity), the net loss from this investment still amounts to $1,625 (EUR 300 = USD 375). This equates to a loss of approximately 11ꦛ.2 p𒁃ercent on the initial investment of $14,500.
Of course, the euro could as well have gone the other way. If it had appreciated to a level of 1.50 against the U.S. dollar, the gain 💧arising from favorable foreign exchange fluctuation would have been $500. Including the coupon payment of EUR 300 or $450, total returns would have amounted to 6.55 percent on the initial $14,500 investment.
Hedging Currency Risk in Bond Holdings
Many international fund managers hedge currency risk rather than take the chance of returns being decimated by adverse currency fluctuations. However, hedging itself carries a degree of risk since a cost is attached to it. As the cost of hedging currency risk is largely based on interest rate differentials, it can offset a substantial part of the higher interest rate offered by the foreign currency bond, thereby undermining the rationale for investing in such a bond in the first place. Depending on the method of hedging employed, the investor may be locked into a rate even if the foreign currency appreciates, and incurring an 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:opportunity cost as a result.
In a number of cases, however, 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:hedging may be well worth it either to lock in currency gains or protect against a sliding currency. The most common methods employed to hedge currency risk are 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:currency forwards and futures, or 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:currency options. Each method of hedging has distinct advantages and disadvantages. Currency forwards can be tailored to a specific amount ꧟and maturity but lock in a fixed rate, while currency futures offer high leverage but are only available in fixed contract sizes and maturities. Currency options provide more flexibility than forwards and futures but can be quite expensive.
The Bottom Line
Foreign bonds may offer higher yields than domestic bonds and diversify tꦏhe portfolio. However, these benefits should be weighed against the risk of loss from unfavorable foreiꦑgn exchange moves, which can have a significant negative impact on total returns from foreign bonds.